{"id":399,"date":"2026-02-02T11:23:39","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T08:23:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/?p=399"},"modified":"2026-02-02T11:23:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T08:23:41","slug":"%f0%9f%93%8a-rynok-nedvizhimosti-v-polshe-v-2025-godu-kvartalnaya-dinamika-czeny-spros-i-prognozy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/o-nedvizhimosti\/%f0%9f%93%8a-rynok-nedvizhimosti-v-polshe-v-2025-godu-kvartalnaya-dinamika-czeny-spros-i-prognozy\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udcca Polish Real Estate Market in 2025: Quarterly Dynamics, Prices, Demand, and Forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Introduction: 2025 \u2013 The Year of the Sober Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After several years of sharp fluctuations, overheated demand and panic buying, the real estate market in Poland will finally recover in 2025. <strong>took a break<\/strong>.<br>This is already <strong>not a market of euphoria<\/strong>, but also <strong>not a crisis<\/strong>. Rather, it&#039;s the moment when numbers begin to speak louder than emotions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts agree: 2025 is the year <strong>transition to stability<\/strong>, where buyers count, sellers bargain, and investors look again to long-term returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The basis of this article:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>analytics <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ey.com\/en_pl\/insights\/real-estate-hospitality-construction\/the-polish-real-estate-guide-2025-gc-fy25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EY \u2014 <em>Poland Real Estate Guide 2025<\/em><\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>official quarterly statistics <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/stat.gov.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">G\u0142\u00f3wny Urz\u0105d Statystyczny (GUS)<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>data <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/nbp.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NBP<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbre.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CBRE<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pkobp.pl\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.pkobp.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PKO BP<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfd8 General picture of the real estate market in Poland<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to EY, <a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/pokupka-i-prodazha-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"16\">Polish real estate market<\/a> in 2025 is characterized by three key words:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>stabilization - caution - selectivity<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc What this means in practice:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>prices continue to rise, but <strong>without sudden jumps<\/strong>,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>the number of transactions is stabilizing,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The market is increasingly less responsive to short-term news.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source:<\/strong> EY, <em>Poland Real Estate Guide 2025<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc8 Quarterly housing price dynamics in 2025 (single source \u2014 GUS)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>To avoid mixing methodologies and approaches, <strong>All quarterly data below is taken exclusively from official GUS statistics.<\/strong> \u2014 <em>Price indicators of residential premises in Poland<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe0 Price dynamics by quarter (Poland as a whole)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Quarter 2025<\/th><th>Change from the previous quarter<\/th><th>Change compared to the same quarter a year earlier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>1st quarter<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+0,7 %<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+6,6 %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Second quarter<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+1,2 %<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+4,7 %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>3rd quarter<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+0,9 %<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+4,0 %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source: GUS \u2014 Price indices of residential premises, 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde0 How to read these numbers correctly<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd39 <strong>Q1 2025<\/strong><br>The market started the year with moderate growth. The annual rate (+6.6% %) is still high \u2013 this reflects demand momentum through 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd39 <strong>Q2 2025<\/strong><br>Growth accelerated quarter-on-quarter (+1.2 %), but the year-on-year dynamics have slowed significantly. This is the first clear signal. <strong>market cooling<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd39 <strong>Q3 2025<\/strong><br>Growth continues, but is becoming more &quot;flat.&quot; The annual rate of +4.0 % is a typical level. <strong>healthy market<\/strong>, and not overheating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc Important:<br>In all three quarters <strong>the primary market grew faster than the secondary market<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/stat.gov.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GUS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe2 Residential Real Estate: What&#039;s Happening to Apartments?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Prices in major cities<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>While GUS publishes quarterly indices for the country as a whole, EY and NBP analysis shows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Warsaw, Krakow, Gdansk, Wroclaw - <strong>plateau phase<\/strong>,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>price increases are localized and depend on location,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>are appearing more and more often on the secondary market <strong>real trading<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 The buyer no longer \u00abchasing the price\u00bb, but <strong>compares options<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Demand: Who&#039;s Buying in 2025?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is formed by:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>families buying housing for living,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>investors for long-term lease,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>foreigners (EU, Ukraine).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc Speculative demand has almost disappeared.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfd7 Developers: fewer, but more careful<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to data <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/stat.gov.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GUS<\/a><\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>the number of new projects has decreased,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>developers consider profitability,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>emphasis on quality and energy efficiency.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This reduces the risk of overproduction, but <strong>does not solve the structural housing shortage<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe0 Rental market in 2025<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After a sharp rise in previous years:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>rental rates have stabilized,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>the supply has increased,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>tenants began to choose.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc This is already <strong>tenant market<\/strong>, not the landlord.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcbc Commercial real estate (briefly)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Offices:<\/strong> demand for modern buildings, declining interest in old ones<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Logistics:<\/strong> one of the strongest market segments<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Investments:<\/strong> return of foreign capital<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd2e Forecast: What&#039;s next?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the assessment <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ey.com\/en_gl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EY<\/a> \u0438 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pkobp.pl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PKO BP<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>a sharp drop in prices is not expected,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>local corrections are possible,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The key factor is interest rates.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc 2025 \u2014 <strong>no time to rush<\/strong>, and the calculation time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd39 Need help with real estate in Poland? We&#039;ll help you from A to Z.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Polish real estate market in 2025 has become more rational, but also more complex.<br>Mistakes at the purchase, mortgage or paperwork stage can cost tens of thousands of zlotys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is why customers choose <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/kontakty\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"30\">comprehensive support<\/a><\/strong>, rather than disparate services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe0 Our real estate services in Poland:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2714 <a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/pokupka-i-prodazha-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"16\">selection of apartments and houses for living or investment<\/a><br>\u2714 Professional price and real market value analysis<br>\u2714 support of purchase and sale transactions<br>\u2714 <a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/razreshenie-na-pokupku-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"20\">assistance to foreigners in purchasing real estate<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcb0 Mortgages in Poland:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2714 <a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/ipotechnoe-soprovozhdenie\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"18\">selection of the optimal mortgage program<\/a><br>\u2714 cooperation with Polish banks<br>\u2714 Analysis of chances of loan approval<br>\u2714 assistance in preparing documents<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc4 Permission MSWiA (Ministerstwo Spraw Wewn\u0119trznych i Administracji):<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2714 <a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/razreshenie-na-pokupku-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"20\">preparation of a complete package of documents<\/a><br>\u2714 support in the permit obtaining process<br>\u2714 consultations on requirements and deadlines<br>\u2714 experience working with foreigners and complex cases<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are working <strong>based on real market data<\/strong>, official statistics and practical experience, not theoretical advice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc Contact us if you:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/pokupka-i-prodazha-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"16\">Want to buy real estate in Poland as a foreigner?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/ipotechnoe-soprovozhdenie\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"18\">Are you planning to take out a mortgage from a Polish bank?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/uslugi\/razreshenie-na-pokupku-nedvizhimosti\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"20\">Not sure if you need MSWiA permission<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>want to invest safely in real estate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49<a href=\"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/kontakty\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"30\"> Contact us and receive a personal consultation tailored to your situation.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\uddfe Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Polish real estate market in 2025:<br>\u2714 grew, but slowly<br>\u2714 became more rational<br>\u2714 gave more space for negotiations<br>\u2714 was favorable for long-term decisions<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was one of the most &quot;honest&quot; markets in recent years - without hysteria and without illusions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0412\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435: 2025 \u2014 \u0433\u043e\u0434 \u0442\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u041f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043b\u0435\u0442 \u0440\u0435\u0437\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0441\u043a\u0430\u0447\u043a\u043e\u0432, \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0433\u0440\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0430 \u0438 \u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0443\u043f\u043e\u043a \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043e\u043a \u043d\u0435\u0434\u0432\u0438\u0436\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u0432 \u041f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0435<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-o-nedvizhimosti"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=399"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":401,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399\/revisions\/401"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/400"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rutkowskihome.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}